OzeWorld Guide

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So to comprehend whether they currently are doing so, the authors regress the earnings of the strategies against the earnings of varied hedge account strategies. The returns are found by them of the 12-1-momentum strategy seem to describe the returns of global macro, long-short equity, maintained futures, and multi-strategy. The profits of the mixed strategy seem to be related to the managed futures and multi-strategy comes back. But for the most part, the individual strategies’ profits don’t seem to be related to hedge account strategies’ returns, so these profits aren’t being arbitraged away by hedge money maybe.

Already, many Asian Tigers, not forgetting China, are exporters of Capital to lower income economies even, as they have been gradually moving their production up the value chain. I suspect that for employees in Europe the process shall be very uneven and in part shall rely upon the degree to which the EU economies hang together as a bloc, or hang separately by descending into rivalry. Gordon Brown was almost certainly correct in his repeated statements during the election campaign that any employees who do not equip themselves with sufficient intellectual skills will suffer badly.

Those who do equip themselves may, at best, see only moderate improvements, though this can be masked by an ongoing widening and cheapening of the number of products. There may also be a reversal of another phenomena that has given rise to discussion. The final 20 years or so has seen repeated inflation of asset prices, as laid out above.

Spain is one of the PIG or Club Med economies being targeted by the markets. I could remember even as brief a period back as in my own late teenagers and early twenties, things in these countries were much unique of them may be today. It has to be remembered that at around that point when Greece was ruled with a Military Junta, Spain, and Portugal were ruled by Fascist dictators.

Spain’s economy is continuing to grow considerably since then consequently of EU membership, but, in large part it has grown by attracting vacationers and northern European buyers of homes in the Sun. The other Club Med economies will be the same, which is why whereas exports take into account more than 40% of Germany’s overall economy, they account for only 20% roughly of the GDP of these economies, despite their lower wages.

It is the reason why the fall in the Euro isn’t any great advantage to them. Huge figures of people in Spain, specifically, were employed in construction, building these true homes, as their prices rose in a vintage bubble. Like all bubbles, such as John Law’s Mississippi Scheme, its closing phases were marked by an effort to keep it heading by building in less desired areas like the scrub and desert areas, where prices could be held lower.

That bubble has stopped inflating but has not popped. They have left tens of thousands of construction workers without jobs. Spain is in a tough economy and probably struggling deflation still. Even before the latest cuts program was announced by the Government, unemployment stood at over 20%, which is Depression levels (over 40% for Youth Unemployment).

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During the 1930’s the amount of property prices fell in a little case to just 10% of their earlier level. Other asset bubbles when they have burst have shown similar falls – the NASDAQ, which detailed mainly Technology stocks dropped by 75% in 2000, when the tech bubble burst. At the moment some retailers in Spain are holding out still wishing to sell at prices greater than they have paid. That’s not sustainable.

A fall in house prices in developed economies might then cover up some of the fall, or slow growth in wages by means effectively of a shift in wealth from existing property owners to future home purchasers. Which will be way more if, as I expect, the massive levels of liquidity, pumped into the overall economy, leads to a significant rise in item price inflation and nominal wages.